Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b6cbfecae6da0f0c27aefee9acbf9801d1199ec6bae4d859725a6ec05028755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,437$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 5c | 2,948$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.07 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 1,537$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.79 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked Under | 5c | 1,472$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 34c | 878.49$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.62 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 58c | 746.49$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 51c | 615.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.43 | 102 | 73.5%75 W · 27 L | +15.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 41c | 610.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 604.19$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.19 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 50c | 603.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.5 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 20c | 578.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.9 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 542.2$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 20c | 536.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Over | 61c | 442.44$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 4c | 428.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 61c | 415.48$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.87 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 403.46$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 50c | 396$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.68 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 58c | 376.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 58c | 323.47$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.98 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 50c | 311.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.65 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 39c | 300.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 38c | 293.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 36c | 261.42$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 25c | 242.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 199.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 194.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 149.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 147.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 50c | 139.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Over | 65c | 131.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +11.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 34c | 116$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 39c | 101.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 45c | 100.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 99.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 33c | 99.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 62c | 96.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 36c | 91.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 54c | 90.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Under | 44c | 87.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Over | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 77.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e8…b40abacked Over | 28c | 67.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfac…b532backed Over | 69c | 62.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed Over | 36c | 56.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 51c | 53.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Under | 38c | 52.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7946…387fbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb45…1a6bbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 32.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 50c | 31.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 46c | 28.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 46c | 24.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 23.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…75a9backed Over | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 61c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5this page
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.