Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64864074a8b04b002827de67dbc30bb3e0b4f74d2147fa4d88a7fcb07616be75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,973$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 66c | 1,807$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.27 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 34c | 1,492$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 67c | 607.61$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 16c | 567$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 518.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 66c | 451.22$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.06 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 307$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 67c | 306.77$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over | 31c | 285.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 226.89$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 69c | 226.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 15c | 185.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 32c | 156.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 32c | 148$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 136 | 43.4%59 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 15c | 133.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 17c | 119.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 114.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 31c | 79.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 34c | 79.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Over | 31c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 73c | 61.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 31c | 55.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 52.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 67c | 51.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 29c | 50.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 68c | 36.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…5ab5backed Over | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Under | 79c | 33.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Under | 75c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 75c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 71c | 17.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a9…c476backed Under | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5this page
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.