Fifa International · resolved market
Morocco vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe76176b21248faf8cfd326c252300afad1d06ba7404a2dcaaac0a5e8d4e5bc80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 726.03$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.61 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 31c | 506.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked No | 79c | 304.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 24c | 267.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.02 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 238.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.42 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 45c | 221$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 40c | 220$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 43c | 206.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 198.14$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 25c | 145$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 44c | 136$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 69c | 96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 80.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 222 | 58.6%130 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed No | 64c | 56.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 56.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 67c | 52.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 63c | 51.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 46.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked No | 63c | 39.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Yes | 41c | 39.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 39c | 38.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed No | 62c | 36.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ca…2f70backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…bfc1backed No | 58c | 33.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…a37abacked No | 33c | 31.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1a…c4aebacked Yes | 43c | 30.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked No | 62c | 23.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…7aa0backed No | 59c | 17.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…0026backed No | 74c | 14.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5Under won
- Morocco vs. Ecuador: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.