Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc3cfaf5cd6092a362957fe43a9ec62f26d9d00bdfb8c06ae72846a3a3e012b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 17,673$6,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,892.32 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 61c | 12,265$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,764.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 61c | 7,757$4,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.22 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 39c | 6,202$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.67 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 6,046$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.32 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 47c | 3,439$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 40c | 3,269$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.23 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 39c | 2,040$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.92 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 63c | 1,318$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.91 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 1,194$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Over | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 922.05$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 784.3$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.1 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 40c | 688$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.8 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 62c | 601.13$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 61c | 491.65$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 58c | 438$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 60c | 432.09$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 402.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.72 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 61c | 306.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Under | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 61c | 240$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 221 | 46.2%102 W · 119 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…25d8backed Under | 63c | 204.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 61c | 203.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 200.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 61c | 197.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.12 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 41c | 196.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 40c | 190.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 40c | 190.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 40c | 190.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 40c | 190.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…7bc9backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 61c | 168.65$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 61c | 167$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 43c | 163.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 60c | 162.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over | 61c | 161.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 56c | 155$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…05aabacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 65c | 150.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 52c | 141.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 141.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Over | 61c | 120.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 61c | 102.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Over | 61c | 102.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…6f50backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Under | 40c | 90.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Over | 61c | 87.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7549backed Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 56c | 83.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 53c | 82.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 65c | 79.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cd…ff77backed Over | 61c | 77.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…4912backed Over | 60c | 60.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Over | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 58.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 316 | 48.7%154 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 52c | 56.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb52a…31a2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 61c | 49.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Over | 60c | 48.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 39c | 48.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 45c | 47.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 407 | 42%171 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 46.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb45…4ad0backed Over | 65c | 43.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 53c | 34.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 60c | 34.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 46c | 32.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…f879backed Under | 52c | 30.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 36c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.