Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3387ac9c1660a91d25912d9d717fb77eb19633e19dbb5f422e11b0cfcd034758

Rebuilt 26 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Southampton FCof Arsenal FC, Southampton FC
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $104,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,478 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8372…5223backed Southampton FC	57c	35,611$20,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,337.57	68	57.4%39 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Arsenal FC	33c	33,377$11,017 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,017.23	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Arsenal FC	47c	26,559$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Southampton FC	53c	18,018$9,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,468.6	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC	43c	5,973$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,592.34	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1050…43afbacked Arsenal FC	46c	3,000$1,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.98	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Southampton FC	53c	2,868$1,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,335.81	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed Southampton FC	57c	2,698$1,538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Southampton FC	51c	2,241$1,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.72	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Arsenal FC	10c	1,944$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.88	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Southampton FC	57c	1,770$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$769.83	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Southampton FC	61c	1,651$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$643.32	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Arsenal FC	22c	1,556$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	252	25%63 W · 189 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fa…cdb2backed Arsenal FC	46c	1,500$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Arsenal FC	48c	1,334$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.53	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Arsenal FC	46c	1,185$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.93	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Arsenal FC	47c	1,064$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	122	41.8%51 W · 71 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC	46c	1,010$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.47	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Southampton FC	59c	847.46$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.46	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	57cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Arsenal FC	14c	679.39$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Southampton FC	54c	591.05$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.43	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Southampton FC	54c	527.78$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.78	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Southampton FC	54c	512.76$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.74	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Arsenal FC	33c	511.82$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.98	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Arsenal FC	45c	499.97$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Arsenal FC	45c	499.8$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.91	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Arsenal FC	46c	489.28$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.07	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Southampton FC	55c	469.05$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.31	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Arsenal FC	45c	459.17$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.98	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Arsenal FC	45c	444.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Southampton FC	53c	432.97$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.5	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC	31c	418.12$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc470…2f42backed Arsenal FC	45c	399.94$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.97	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	40cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Southampton FC	55c	392.73$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Arsenal FC	46c	356.07$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.99	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Arsenal FC	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Arsenal FC	44c	299.54$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.6	111	25.2%28 W · 83 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Arsenal FC	44c	269$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.49	457	51.2%234 W · 223 L	+21.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Arsenal FC	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	286	33.9%97 W · 189 L	+19.7wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Arsenal FC	47c	250$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.25	964	43.7%421 W · 543 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Arsenal FC	47c	250$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.25	1,224	42.3%518 W · 706 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Arsenal FC	43c	233.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Arsenal FC	46c	218.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Arsenal FC	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	100	31%31 W · 69 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Southampton FC	53c	210$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Southampton FC	53c	210$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.7	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Southampton FC	53c	185$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.95	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+8.2wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Arsenal FC	50c	180$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Southampton FC	55c	175.75$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.93	300	57%171 W · 129 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southampton FC	57c	170.07$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.4	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Southampton FC	55c	156.47$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.41	68	66.2%45 W · 23 L	+9.0wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe735…4198backed Southampton FC	53c	150$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.5	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x666b…d240backed Southampton FC	53c	150$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.5	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4341…6451backed Arsenal FC	47c	148.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.94	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Arsenal FC	47c	146.81$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	155	53.5%83 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…9732backed Southampton FC	55c	136.36$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.36	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed Southampton FC	53c	135.3$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.24	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Arsenal FC	41c	133$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.84	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa029…f04abacked Arsenal FC	47c	129.79$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Arsenal FC	45c	122.37$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Arsenal FC	44c	118$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.86	1,264	33.7%426 W · 838 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked Southampton FC	53c	110$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.7	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Arsenal FC	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Arsenal FC	47c	106.38$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…997ebacked Arsenal FC	47c	105.32$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4e…1721backed Arsenal FC	47c	105.3$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.49	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Arsenal FC	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southampton FC	53c	103.23$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.52	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Arsenal FC	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed Southampton FC	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Arsenal FC	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Arsenal FC	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arsenal FC	33c	97.02$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.72	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Southampton FC	52c	92.3$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.01	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed Southampton FC	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Southampton FC	55c	90.35$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Southampton FC	62c	87.45$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.44	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Southampton FC	56c	86.54$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.47	235	56.2%132 W · 103 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Southampton FC	54c	84.48$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.49	64	62.5%40 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Arsenal FC	49c	81.63$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07ac…ebeebacked Southampton FC	55c	80.3$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.34	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0f…c51abacked Arsenal FC	47c	80.13$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.66	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be9…368dbacked Arsenal FC	45c	77.04$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Arsenal FC	47c	74.71$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Arsenal FC	48c	69.73$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xace5…ae68backed Arsenal FC	28c	65.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9757…9191backed Arsenal FC	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Southampton FC	68c	64.23$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.84	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x49af…219dbacked Arsenal FC	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Southampton FC	53c	61.68$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.99	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	+11.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Arsenal FC	44c	58.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.47	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.1wins	+0.23per pick	45cpaid	+52.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Arsenal FC	49c	56.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Arsenal FC	48c	52.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Southampton FC	57c	46.7$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.22	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Arsenal FC	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.9wins	-0.30per pick	53cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Arsenal FC	49c	43.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.08	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Southampton FC	55c	38.36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.26	27	77.8%21 W · 6 L	+7.4wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Southampton FC	54c	37.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.04	207	63.8%132 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Southampton FC	54c	35.5$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Southampton FC	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	137	46%63 W · 74 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)this page
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event