Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff76c0259a2ad4482c3f6a0a8e1ac79b53ed26572cf5f989676f9def501a0824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 4,701$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Yes | 67c | 4,466$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 4,196$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.4 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 74c | 884.36$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 615.75$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 70c | 429.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 416.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.54 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Yes | 51c | 291.08$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.63 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 274.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 49c | 203.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 57c | 183.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 12c | 138.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1893…a913backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 51c | 128.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 27c | 106.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 38c | 85.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 417 | 60.2%251 W · 166 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 50.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9b…2f9ebacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 52c | 47.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Yes | 64c | 35.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 48c | 29.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 161 | 49.1%79 W · 82 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Yes | 52c | 28.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Yes | 52c | 28.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 28.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…b082backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed No | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 51c | 25.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…271bbacked Yes | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1040backed Yes | 48c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…3f86backed Yes | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…03cebacked No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 22.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 55c | 22.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…8c89backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…5618backed No | 52c | 21.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed No | 49c | 21.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 409 | 42.1%172 W · 237 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.