Ligue 1 · resolved market
AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f3ea0d2a48c0a3c91c011248b3343c1e790566b8145c6bd3941b2d0e0193bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,035 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9df…2d62backed Under | 61c | 11,987$7,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,980$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.87 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 2,840$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.69 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 32c | 1,716$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 1,278$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.67 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 50c | 822.34$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…b8f7backed Over | 26c | 526.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…1415backed Under | 74c | 526.51$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 254.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 40c | 201.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -10.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Under | 56c | 143.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Over | 41c | 73.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 35c | 55.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Under | 60c | 55.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 48.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 40c | 41.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 51c | 39.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 77c | 35.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Over | 43c | 28.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Over | 43c | 24.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…1d57backed Under | 69c | 20.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…9713backed Under | 79c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 3.5this page
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 1.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5Over won
- AJ Auxerre vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AJ Auxerre (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)AJ Auxerre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.