Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59ccf36b3d5c7b4bca89406bea876782ee64f2ce5b25311b7ab219866efa8cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 64c | 3,267$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.4 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 34c | 2,942$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.42 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,463$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 2,431$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 32c | 1,487$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 1,428$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.59 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 19c | 1,149$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 24c | 1,082$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 68c | 917.36$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 769.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 69c | 538.55$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 80c | 416.09$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 78c | 410.29$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 15c | 399.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…ea61backed Over | 69c | 361.53$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 79c | 354.14$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.02 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 43c | 349.95$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Over | 68c | 324.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.58 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 318.64$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 295$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 14c | 263.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 69c | 213.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 170.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 145.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…77cdbacked Over | 66c | 134$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 72c | 131.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 24c | 130.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 69c | 98.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 80c | 96.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Under | 33c | 90.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 68c | 86.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 78c | 85.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 70c | 84.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 59c | 77.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 69c | 73.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 26c | 72.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 63c | 71.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 69c | 65.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 64.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.22 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 74c | 57.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 30c | 54.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 47.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Under | 69c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 40c | 43.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Over | 46c | 41.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 78c | 35.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 77c | 35.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…b052backed Over | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 75c | 32.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…80c9backed Under | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 78c | 31.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 69c | 27.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Under | 65c | 26.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 73c | 24.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…8114backed Over | 70c | 21.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 69c | 19.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.