Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44685cdc7d16c119c6ab0e1cf03c6751cb3c6ef629458d9d319c82bd173d173c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 5,870$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,694$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.51 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 1,503$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.17 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 59c | 1,273$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.11 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 42c | 1,164$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.07 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 41c | 964.6$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.49 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 684.22$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 38c | 633.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 41c | 615$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.15 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 58c | 499.23$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 58c | 449.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Over | 6c | 424.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 58c | 420$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 59c | 299.67$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 78c | 273.55$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 14c | 264.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 234.43$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 58c | 206.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 42c | 202.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 62c | 195.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.27 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 39c | 186.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 154.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 59c | 144.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 42c | 124.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…242cbacked Over | 13c | 108.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 98.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Under | 60c | 84.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 58c | 79.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 42c | 62.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 27c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…7e5ebacked Under | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 30c | 47.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 42c | 47.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 41c | 47.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 63c | 46.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 60c | 40.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…9d86backed Under | 68c | 39.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 43c | 38.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Over | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 37.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 58c | 35.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Under | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 39c | 31.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 58c | 30.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Over | 43c | 27.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 59c | 25.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bb…7c05backed Under | 62c | 17.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 59c | 17.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. Torino FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)Torino FC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: Torino FC (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.