Fifa International · resolved market
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03473a9a7fc6e5731390114f6757b38863f779174f6030babeac56a858628df5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 72c | 171,865$123,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,868.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 27c | 114,660$30,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,702.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 32c | 28,323$9,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,259.62 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 28c | 9,389$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 28c | 9,091$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.47 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 8,276$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.27 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 6,104$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.42 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Under | 45c | 4,848$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.57 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Under | 27c | 3,291$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.62 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over | 68c | 2,906$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc765…9322backed Over | 57c | 2,739$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 2,193$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.02 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 74c | 2,111$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 70c | 2,031$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 1,478$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.62 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Under | 34c | 1,191$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.18 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…5349backed Under | 65c | 948.06$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 27c | 919.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.83 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 24c | 767.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 27c | 767.01$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.75 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 27c | 699.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.99 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 51c | 417.27$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.6 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…74a7backed Under | 30c | 407.62$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 59c | 333$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.53 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 94 | 67%63 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 277.66$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Over | 58c | 268.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.64 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 49c | 230.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 223.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.75 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 19c | 215$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 55c | 197.52$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 70c | 184.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 60c | 165.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 29c | 151.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 144.6$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…3e81backed Over | 70c | 138.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5118…c9e7backed Over | 70c | 136.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…c934backed Over | 70c | 133.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 130$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 110.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 27c | 108.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 27c | 105.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 61c | 104.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 40c | 103.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…d1f0backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Under | 27c | 94.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | +15.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…10b2backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 52c | 85.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 79.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe972…8004backed Under | 54c | 79.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Over | 72c | 74.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 27c | 74.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 167 | 58.7%98 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 71.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 323 | 56%181 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…6d97backed Over | 44c | 58.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 27c | 57.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 307 | 48.2%148 W · 159 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 27c | 57.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 189 | 26.5%50 W · 139 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 55.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Under | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…f7d9backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 33c | 53.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Over | 55c | 48.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Under | 27c | 43.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Under | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Over | 73c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 45c | 33.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b1…9a49backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 46c | 29.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Under | 57c | 28.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…4316backed Over | 73c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5this page
- Greece vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.