Spread: Greece (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x587c7e639b4140506fbcc6673dce99c751dae2ca365a457ad16618caee6c735b

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof Greece, Paraguay
Resolved: Mar 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Paraguay	78c	6,661$5,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.62	105	58.1%61 W · 44 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	76c	5,894$4,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.64	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Greece	22c	4,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Greece	24c	4,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paraguay	75c	3,771$2,846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.63	368	50.3%185 W · 183 L	+9.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Greece	24c	2,561$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.47	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Greece	24c	2,400$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Paraguay	78c	1,588$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.39	214	44.9%96 W · 118 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Paraguay	76c	1,394$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.11	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Greece	22c	1,020$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.4	188	50%94 W · 94 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Greece	23c	799.97$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Greece	23c	749.88$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.14	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Greece	22c	651$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.98	175	35.4%62 W · 113 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+46.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Paraguay	78c	603.92$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.92	864	55.3%478 W · 386 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Paraguay	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Greece	25c	499.7$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.81	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Paraguay	77c	472.51$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.59	167	58.7%98 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Greece	17c	452.1$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.86	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Greece	24c	400$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Greece	22c	400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Greece	22c	400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	116	46.6%54 W · 62 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Greece	23c	400$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Greece	23c	360$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Greece	24c	349.74$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.94	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Paraguay	78c	340.72$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.92	508	50%254 W · 254 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Greece	23c	335.99$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.4	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Paraguay	78c	320.64$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.66	246	53.3%131 W · 115 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Greece	24c	320$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Paraguay	79c	318.37$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.39	237	49.8%118 W · 119 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Greece	27c	274.52$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.26per pick	44cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Paraguay	74c	236$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.36	351	50.7%178 W · 173 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Greece	22c	217.21$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.79	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Paraguay	77c	216.72$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Paraguay	78c	215.95$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.69	149	48.3%72 W · 77 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Greece	23c	209.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	467	43.3%202 W · 265 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Greece	29c	206.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Greece	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Greece	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Greece	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Greece	24c	192$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Greece	24c	160$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Greece	24c	160$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Greece	24c	160$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Greece	24c	144$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Greece	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Greece	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd7…95b0backed Greece	24c	137.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Greece	23c	131.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Greece	22c	124$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.77	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Greece	23c	123.32$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.69	161	16.8%27 W · 134 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Paraguay	77c	120$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.6	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Greece	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Greece	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Greece	24c	120$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Paraguay	75c	119.99$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.6	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Greece	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Greece	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	80	55%44 W · 36 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Paraguay	78c	98.73$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Greece	24c	96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Greece	22c	96$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Greece	22c	96$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	109	44%48 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Greece	24c	96$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	129	45%58 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Greece	22c	84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	175	57.1%100 W · 75 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Greece	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Greece	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Greece	22c	80$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	75	53.3%40 W · 35 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Greece	24c	80$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.2	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Paraguay	76c	79.38$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.84	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Paraguay	77c	77.6$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.69	237	51.1%121 W · 116 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Paraguay	77c	73.06$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.15	70	52.9%37 W · 33 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Greece	22c	63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.86	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Greece	22c	56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a9…7876backed Greece	24c	53.41$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.76	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Greece	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Paraguay	78c	48.63$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.91	341	44.3%151 W · 190 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Paraguay	75c	46.67$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.57	1,688	54.4%918 W · 770 L	+31.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Paraguay	77c	39.14$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.19	101	53.5%54 W · 47 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Paraguay	75c	36.52$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.95	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Paraguay	77c	33.28$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.65	1,001	53.9%540 W · 461 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Paraguay	78c	32.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	97	59.8%58 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf1…5776backed Paraguay	79c	31.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.65	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Paraguay	77c	27$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.21	46	78.3%36 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	74cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0c…a98fbacked Paraguay	76c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.6	21	85.7%18 W · 3 L	+5.1wins	+0.24per pick	61cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Greece (-1.5)this page
Greece vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Greece won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Greece (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event