Fifa International · resolved market
Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4487c9f3168c90025fe1cd3c151cae376a539f1dc5a2ecc40a8019ed6a343db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 46c | 70,000$32,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,199.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 49,493$26,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,766.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 54c | 15,684$8,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,214.78 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 3,926$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.12 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 56c | 1,366$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.05 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,135$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.71 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 56c | 925.04$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.95 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 861.7$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.61 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 763.91$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 33c | 708.69$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 638.24$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.93 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 622.37$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 57c | 616.29$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.11 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 13c | 555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 138 | 30.4%42 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 46c | 534.75$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 47c | 532.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 44c | 517.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.56 | 291 | 38.8%113 W · 178 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 8c | 363.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 27c | 316.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 307.03$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 260.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 47c | 248.13$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 40c | 124.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Over | 48c | 121.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 56c | 95.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Under | 55c | 81.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 56c | 70.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Under | 53c | 62.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…800bbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 25c | 42.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 39.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…5971backed Over | 46c | 39.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8978…134dbacked Over | 45c | 35.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa977…f09dbacked Over | 49c | 34.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…be64backed Under | 56c | 33.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dca…605cbacked Under | 57c | 32.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…c014backed Under | 56c | 30.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…b378backed Over | 45c | 30.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Under | 55c | 27.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Under | 54c | 26.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f3…ef15backed Under | 56c | 25.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 54c | 24.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 307 | 48.2%148 W · 159 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…7dd4backed Over | 45c | 24.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…3c78backed Over | 45c | 23.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…6f97backed Over | 45c | 23.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…ae12backed Under | 56c | 22.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Under | 55c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 58c | 20.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 20.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 62c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Under | 58c | 18.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…39eebacked Under | 56c | 18.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 56c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5this page
- Greece vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.