Fifa International · resolved market
Greece vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b7b7a9f7f613aab7e800c26dc10ab7a804b2a63c03325ee70ba6995bc87108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,965$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,475$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.12 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 659.51$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.97 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 22c | 523.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…9ccebacked No | 51c | 219$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…d0c3backed Yes | 49c | 215.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…9cf1backed Yes | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 48c | 207.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…f402backed No | 51c | 207$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…9c39backed Yes | 49c | 203.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…d902backed No | 51c | 203.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb243…4c2abacked No | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…add1backed Yes | 49c | 202$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…f7b8backed No | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…04afbacked Yes | 49c | 198.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…d7eabacked No | 51c | 191$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…ba3cbacked Yes | 49c | 189.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973d…00c0backed No | 51c | 188$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…67a8backed Yes | 49c | 187.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d3…8712backed Yes | 49c | 187.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…474bbacked No | 51c | 186$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…c5f4backed Yes | 49c | 183.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2ea4backed No | 51c | 183$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f92cbacked Yes | 49c | 181.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…8825backed No | 51c | 181$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 175.74$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 161.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 145.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 49c | 101.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 60.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 49c | 59.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 38c | 51.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 44.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 44.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed No | 64c | 44.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 30.4%41 W · 94 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Yes | 51c | 30.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Greece vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Greece vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Greece (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Greece won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.