South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07289e7d05dfd60f559f07aa1499d46b5a9d4acd467b3683d85c7b4e06f10d6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 57c | 1,944$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.3 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,349$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 48c | 480$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 320.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.06 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9579…44d4backed Under | 64c | 313.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 232.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 38c | 216.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 211.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Under | 47c | 170.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…18e3backed Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 36c | 151.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 56c | 141.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 42c | 118.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 70c | 104.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 38c | 94.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 57c | 85.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 79.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…28eabacked Over | 39c | 72.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 69.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Over | 53c | 69.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 53c | 69.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 53c | 69.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 53c | 69.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…8c66backed Over | 53c | 69.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 53c | 69.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 53c | 69.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 37c | 67.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 51c | 65.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 53c | 64.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 58.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 52c | 55.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 52c | 55.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 55.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 53c | 54.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 52c | 54.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 49c | 51.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 49.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 56c | 48.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Over | 43c | 48.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 37c | 44.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 46c | 43.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 57c | 32.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 34c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 30.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 47c | 23.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 48c | 23.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 78c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 64c | 15.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Mazatlán FC won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5)Club Necaxa won
- Spread: Mazatlán FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.