South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x467b0176d5300d9d67d1db3c496b2331b39bf2147957540b716d00f6f05f28ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 3,275$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 43c | 3,025$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 1,360$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.77 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 24c | 1,111$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 826.8$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 783.7$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 781.75$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 30c | 666.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…28eabacked Over | 53c | 374.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 53c | 374.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…4e4abacked Over | 47c | 353.75$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 47c | 315$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.95 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 52c | 305.77$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 70c | 196.51$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 46c | 191.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.37 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Under | 73c | 191.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 163.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 25c | 161.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Over | 40c | 114.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 102.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 72.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 59c | 68.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 47c | 65.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 48c | 57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 60c | 53.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 50c | 44.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 27c | 43.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 49c | 42.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 50c | 39.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 37.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed Over | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed Under | 48c | 35.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…259fbacked Under | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed Under | 69c | 28.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 40c | 27.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5382…8d53backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877a…2e0ebacked Under | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d2…8b96backed Over | 49c | 23.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6febbacked Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6a…1352backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…c9c0backed Over | 49c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f9…2e72backed Under | 53c | 21.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…baf1backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…cf6ebacked Over | 49c | 20.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 72c | 18.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 79c | 14.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 79c | 14.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Puebla vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-2.5)Club Puebla won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.