Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54620f62c5133809209566741c7e4050d97b63d753427ca3a8084e8b4a7f717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 2,236$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 74c | 1,990$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.24 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 467$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.31 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 428.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.25 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 33c | 305.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 237.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 73c | 207.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.55 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 181.79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.79 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 61c | 160.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 36c | 153.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 69c | 145.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 95.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 24c | 81.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 24c | 81.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 21c | 77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 79c | 77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bf…3d48backed Over | 24c | 72.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 18c | 64.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 65c | 61.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 59.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 74c | 47.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 22c | 46.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 34.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5636…e44cbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 76c | 19.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.