Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf4338aa96b59eb2da8ea985ff532c982fcd5915b60171c5d34df41549e80f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,383$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 49c | 1,758$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.69 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Over | 51c | 985.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 941.08$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 334.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 56c | 317.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 28c | 249.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 232.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 190.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 186.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 60c | 166$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 59c | 135.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 61c | 132.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 126.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 54c | 123.15$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 39c | 115.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 37c | 112.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 45c | 79.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Over | 63c | 79.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…1d61backed Over | 53c | 73.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Over | 63c | 49.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 66c | 46.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Over | 61c | 45.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 44.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 49c | 44.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 63c | 39.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 49c | 34.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 36c | 32.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 48c | 31.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 46c | 31.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 18.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)Vålerenga Fotball won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vålerenga Fotball vs. Viking FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.