Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e0068ca42dcecbd429dcbd062008bf563c31378f349b14df4585281dbeee21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 3,527$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 48c | 2,603$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 58c | 1,359$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 976.63$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 850.26$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 78c | 637.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 27c | 545.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 419.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcde…f9d8backed Under | 25c | 296.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…e688backed Over | 75c | 296.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 46c | 296.72$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 22c | 293.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.55 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 255.18$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.93 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 24c | 216.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 77c | 140.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 45c | 138.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 43c | 121.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 49.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 44c | 46.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 42.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 48c | 42.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 66c | 40.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed Under | 60c | 38.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 44c | 37.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 68c | 31.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 38c | 29.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Over | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…fd96backed Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Over | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.