TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c8,136$4,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,090.072,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over52c8,102$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,189.9517557.1%100 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under49c7,447$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,827.485438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c7,156$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.964742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c6,611$3,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,385.6910246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c6,599$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,299.694656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c3,843$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.365954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over48c3,284$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.246,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53014258.5%83 W · 59 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over39c2,578$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.684,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over55c2,230$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22010739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over51c1,900$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over50c1,276$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.661,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55014553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c915.49$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.197844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over56c893.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over24c684.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.781,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over51c527.2$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.874755.3%26 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over51c508.51$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.69058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25527752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c467.38$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.311,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over37c437.77$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.841936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over49c408.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206d…7c44backed Over51c293.14$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c241.07$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13532164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Over57c210$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.71650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over50c166.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.884562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over58c156.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over39c128.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under45c125$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1396443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c125$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.771,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c124.15$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.281,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c119.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c115.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.722,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over50c115$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.081,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa295…98bcbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over52c95.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7410949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under50c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3613327.1%36 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over51c86.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.135561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over50c75.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5323250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over48c60.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2940841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.527846.4%129 W · 149 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54161%25 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c42.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe513…3830backed Over52c40.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Over51c38.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Over45c37.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over52c37.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4310750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c35.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1616757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c35.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06e…5f09backed Under46c35.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.265350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d3…7761backed Over55c32.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under48c31.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4211055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Under48c30.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Over51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.795044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under46c27.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8915949.1%78 W · 81 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaecd…0aecbacked Over55c26.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ae…2ec5backed Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…cf39backed Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x465a…83e7backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7faa…dfb6backed Under48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3417…f26fbacked Over53c24.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.194650%23 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7784…c807backed Over52c24.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb2…5cf7backed Over52c24.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f41…3d03backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a7…1ed4backed Under49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9629644.6%132 W · 164 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f53…b856backed Under47c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29fd…9896backed Under48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad32…e4aabacked Over51c23.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…9ed6backed Over52c23.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a8…7c76backed Under46c23.7$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…4393backed Over52c23.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d2…dbd5backed Over53c23.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd7…ed68backed Under48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3238…069bbacked Under47c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb361…392ebacked Under49c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e9…3458backed Under48c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a9…dc1fbacked Under48c21.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ec…2fd5backed Over52c21.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf67…1bf3backed Over52c21.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ea…9456backed Under49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde75…ea37backed Over51c20.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…1f4fbacked Over52c20.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9830…75debacked Over52c20.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x189a…ff38backed Over53c20.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over54c20.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x858e…a4abbacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.811048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d23…e87ebacked Over53c19.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a55…6e44backed Over52c19.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4549…a993backed Over53c19.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002b…23b8backed Over53c19.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.