Premier League · resolved market
Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9b052ebc2415f8a1be156c13421f1c173a5d20ee7c488e4cfe82c88a6fc14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 69c | 1,160$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.56 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 69c | 920.29$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.29 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 17c | 703.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 16c | 425.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 11c | 354.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 348.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 30c | 342.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 25c | 262.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 30c | 212.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 31c | 208.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 168.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…7549backed Over | 31c | 167.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 68c | 132.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 31c | 91.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…839ebacked Over | 33c | 39.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…288ebacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Over | 31c | 38.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 32c | 34.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b3cbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-1.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Bristol City FC (-2.5)Sheffield United FC won
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-2.5)Bristol City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.