Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x426ab7e7f40d2418f28e23439ae55c905589767c1706ea85aa30dc19b5014859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 31c | 9,530$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.79 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 6,797$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 2,775$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.96 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 1,983$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.92 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Over | 27c | 742.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.78 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 65c | 550$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 25c | 310$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 305.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 25c | 290$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 139.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…6ba0backed Over | 78c | 121.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 22c | 68.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 77c | 57.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 72c | 54.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…b02ebacked Under | 69c | 28.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 68c | 24.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 66c | 15.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.