Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4e00dabd8e59728d7e89f064bc4f43cb60d9a921a4e2813004c8dd86409192d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 488.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 13c | 449.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.47 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 430.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Over | 29c | 349.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 13c | 124.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 70c | 109$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 103.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 27c | 95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 78.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 24c | 65.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 65.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 28c | 47.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 24c | 46.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 74c | 34.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 75c | 33.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 75c | 33.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 71c | 14.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Vejle BK (-1.5)Randers FC won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)Randers FC won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vejle BK vs. Randers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.