TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,898

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over42c85,488$35,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,938.1118352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under59c18,064$10,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,571.871,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under58c15,218$8,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,894.842962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under59c9,994$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,896.4551749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c9,545$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,589.755,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c9,540$5,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,543.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over41c4,612$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.2611055.5%61 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3603360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c2,251$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.011,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over66c2,181$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.5710657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under43c2,020$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.621765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c1,745$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under58c1,745$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.1147756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under58c1,740$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over26c1,712$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.4599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdf0d…9f79backed Under43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under58c1,421$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.2712361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under59c1,414$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.2333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under58c1,289$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.528158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under58c1,217$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.0716653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c1,002$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.132,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c865.29$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.192,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Under58c861.77$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.961662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under58c861.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9636757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under58c861.08$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.461,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under58c856.49$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over40c836.8$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0811245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under58c826.95$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.4316255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under58c804.4$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.399361.3%57 W · 36 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under60c705$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2121752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under69c601.32$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under58c513.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.967857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over58c492.22$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under60c462.42$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3119056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under58c429.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.588961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under58c427.24$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.810564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under58c425.36$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7114824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over62c399.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15213351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under61c370.65$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3416160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under58c343.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9716759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17410467.3%70 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under53c284.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under68c252$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.367943%34 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over32c252$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.367247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c243.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under62c203.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3417857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48db…b26ebacked Under71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over56c199.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8748922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under58c197.59$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.633266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c184.77$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.281,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over43c184.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Under57c184.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.891827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c180.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.311,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under58c171.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9718154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under59c169.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9963657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Under58c169$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0223542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0832936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed Over23c155.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.113366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5976…7f3fbacked Over66c151.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.742171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under58c147.15$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.359953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under58c135.34$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.53773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over23c130.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.462755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over22c130$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.412940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2b…5271backed Under60c128.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.342657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under59c128.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.953458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over58c118$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over60c109.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0913441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c108.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8120059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40b…3914backed Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848a…9a07backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under52c98.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.633,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c97.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.822,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.023828.9%11 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-45.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8de…a2b8backed Under58c85.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-87.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under59c84.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9912259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under58c78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.421359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Over23c77.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.625935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c76.19$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.191,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under69c75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.463966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over43c70.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.022766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under58c68.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.212860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c68.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.451,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under61c65.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.771,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over63c63.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.652751.9%14 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under77c63.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5172350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over42c59.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.673429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked Over23c57.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under58c56.07$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5213050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c54.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.652,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under59c53.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.712871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed62…6f83backed Over41c51.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under62c51.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.522454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under59c51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.094957.1%28 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.