South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68c5c96076248aa6ddbd07e8665dbeb3a9b863fd408c4b22654ae15b652ffc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pumas de la UNAMof CD Guadalajara, Pumas de la UNAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Guadalajara | 1c | 7,241$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 5,220$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.57 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed CD Guadalajara | 42c | 1,432$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CD Guadalajara | 40c | 759.74$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.01 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 699.39$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.76 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CD Guadalajara | 8c | 506.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 58c | 503.69$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked CD Guadalajara | 43c | 436.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Pumas de la UNAM | 60c | 256.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.3 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 196.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Pumas de la UNAM | 60c | 179$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 178.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 177.09$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 174.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 174.62$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Pumas de la UNAM | 61c | 164.82$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 159.64$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 154.24$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Pumas de la UNAM | 72c | 150.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 123.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 102.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 102.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 102.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked CD Guadalajara | 37c | 93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Guadalajara | 12c | 86.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 81.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Pumas de la UNAM | 56c | 77.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Pumas de la UNAM | 63c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pumas de la UNAM | 56c | 65.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked CD Guadalajara | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 50.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CD Guadalajara | 40c | 49.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Pumas de la UNAM | 54c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pumas de la UNAM | 58c | 36.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…b718backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7654…4815backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked CD Guadalajara | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed CD Guadalajara | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed CD Guadalajara | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed CD Guadalajara | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Pumas de la UNAM | 57c | 24.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 63c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 17.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 60c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pumas de la UNAM | 78c | 16.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.