South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa363ce414bbfd8748583694f6fef0e3083e69f262f3b529711a6e3d5dcfcedb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Under | 27c | 2,020$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.67 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Under | 54c | 1,206$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.42 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Over | 63c | 802.11$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 776.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 774.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.66 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 71c | 665.87$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 513.72$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 77c | 329$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 108 | 75%81 W · 27 L | +16.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 62c | 309.8$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Over | 78c | 210.15$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…7f3fbacked Over | 72c | 171.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 30c | 155.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…a022backed Under | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 146.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 35c | 125$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 80c | 106.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 106.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848a…9a07backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 99.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Under | 28c | 87.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 27c | 87.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 33c | 85.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 33c | 85.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 33c | 80.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 68c | 73.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 73c | 67.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 35c | 66.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 39c | 65.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 27c | 63.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 28c | 59.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Over | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 27c | 57.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Over | 74c | 56.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 55.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 28c | 51.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Over | 73c | 46.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 29c | 46.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 32c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…587ebacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 78c | 27.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d93abacked Over | 73c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 67c | 26.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 79c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 54c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…2d6fbacked Over | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Over | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 3.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.