Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e3f1e97520d4830e343194bf248fc32ee4b27bdc53930a410d017287867d70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 44c | 4,521$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.37 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 4,131$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 4,068$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 53c | 1,900$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 18c | 1,632$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 13c | 699.97$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 23c | 535.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 500.82$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 28c | 426$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 418.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 47c | 395.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 42c | 240$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 24c | 149.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 54c | 147.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 144.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…64f1backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 79c | 79.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 78.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…7661backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Under | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 33c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 36c | 32.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 31.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 52c | 31.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…72f3backed Under | 57c | 28.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 44c | 27.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa527…a78ebacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd67c…3775backed Over | 46c | 24.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…d71abacked Over | 46c | 24.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7e…3275backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…db36backed Under | 54c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfad5…085ebacked Over | 46c | 23.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…fdf7backed Over | 46c | 23.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 46c | 23.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…af88backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…a3f5backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.