Premier League · resolved market
Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0e84eccd199ac4a69f493f7c45100db2e2cb3fb3ba94417f1831ed28f1e6b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 3,846$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.98 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +150.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Over | 36c | 993.35$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 882.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 535.92$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 512.93$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 34c | 323.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.53 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 65c | 267.12$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 65c | 266.68$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 65c | 264.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 65c | 264.96$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 261.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 66c | 259.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 66c | 259.3$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 66c | 259.27$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 255.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 43c | 255$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 27c | 237$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 48c | 208.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Over | 66c | 208.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 63c | 201.77$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.69 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Under | 60c | 167.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 55c | 155.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 61c | 125.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 61c | 123.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 61c | 121.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 61c | 121.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 61c | 119.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 110.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 39c | 109.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 61c | 108.11$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 67c | 89.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81d…7447backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 53c | 53.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 39c | 51.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 62c | 48.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Under | 53c | 47.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 68c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 53c | 43.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 34c | 42.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 41.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 43c | 40.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 69c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 72c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 66c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 67c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 61c | 17.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.