Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9602bf82881f8a6e122aed71f3e9b5eb82644c54bed36a695d293d81bdc73b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlton Athletic FCof Watford FC, Charlton Athletic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Watford FC | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Watford FC | 19c | 499.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.99 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Charlton Athletic FC | 78c | 323$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Watford FC | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 74c | 82.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Charlton Athletic FC | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Watford FC | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Watford FC | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Watford FC | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Charlton Athletic FC | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Watford FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Watford FC won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Watford FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.