Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc681395e36d6faa65db2374942b5eac267d21c8e2f2b18f7786622a58fe3e53c

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $53,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,404 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	50c	22,547$11,334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,212.82	988	44.4%439 W · 549 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over	45c	19,999$9,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,999.59	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	52c	5,292$2,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,540.37	120	55%66 W · 54 L	+12.6wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	72c	4,914$3,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,552.82	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	66cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over	45c	3,326$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	46c	1,414$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.59	93	36.6%34 W · 59 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	44c	1,355$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.64	309	54.7%169 W · 140 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	51c	1,199$616 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.37	437	48.3%211 W · 226 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over	54c	1,115$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over	72c	1,000$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.44	140	60.7%85 W · 55 L	+19.7wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+31%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	925.42$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.76	478	50.8%243 W · 235 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	55c	908.08$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	63cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	38c	756.32$286 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.56	349	37.8%132 W · 217 L	-13.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over	59c	590.1$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.07	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under	55c	569.09$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.09	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over	72c	551.96$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	33c	521.93$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.09	247	32.4%80 W · 167 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	40c	499.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	32c	484.33$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.51	334	44%147 W · 187 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	71c	422.54$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	75	48%36 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over	47c	421.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	35c	401.92$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.67	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	61c	373.97$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	103	57.3%59 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	56c	331.24$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.37	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	66c	304.66$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	66c	303.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over	50c	300$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over	48c	288$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.24	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	38c	269.94$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.58	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x138d…3bd4backed Under	20c	251.48$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.48	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.47per pick	19cpaid	+280%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	55c	248.56$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.96	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under	46c	228.33$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.3	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over	77c	200$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over	78c	199.51$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.62	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under	23c	184.95$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.33	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over	43c	181.16$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.9	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	52c	180$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under	32c	174.05$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.85	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-5.9wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	27c	170$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.53	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Under	44c	170$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under	46c	150$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	62c	146.97$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.85	198	49%97 W · 101 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under	46c	135$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.9	64	60.9%39 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over	68c	128.69$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	40c	125.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	36c	124.31$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	92	57.6%53 W · 39 L	+10.1wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over	34c	121.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.17	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over	54c	120.37$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over	48c	116.33$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.84	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	46c	115$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.1	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…45e9backed Under	55c	104$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.63	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Under	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	80c	100$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over	42c	100$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd536…6659backed Under	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Under	55c	90.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.9	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	35c	87.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under	75c	75$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.96	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	74cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	61c	70$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.5	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	+2.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Under	47c	69.9$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.9	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+62%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over	19c	66.81$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.24per pick	31cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	44c	65.25$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.54	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under	54c	61.26$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.18	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+3.7wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under	46c	60$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over	40c	60$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over	73c	60$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over	45c	56.74$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.78	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	46c	56.52$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.52	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	54c	52.2$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.4	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked Under	20c	50.35$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+67.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over	32c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Under	54c	48.69$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+47%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	55c	43.58$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.57	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	66	50%33 W · 33 L	-6.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over	31c	38.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	71c	36.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.22	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb550…8f5dbacked Over	36c	31$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.17	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8ba…068dbacked Under	38c	28.27$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.63	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	55cpaid	+72%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over	48c	28$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	305	36.1%110 W · 195 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under	46c	28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.12	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	48c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.52	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under	46c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over	48c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over	48c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	62c	18.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5this page
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event