Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e4b71f0eb0ff52a8993e52df9655682c8eeca9a9a15a0c932569ff25c11786
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 71c | 2,246$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.86 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,121$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.29 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Over | 66c | 900$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.28 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 28c | 808.99$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…85debacked Over | 67c | 696.99$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 614.6$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…9f72backed Over | 71c | 308.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 290.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 262.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 68c | 154.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 35c | 142.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 76c | 92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…407fbacked Over | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 76c | 30.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 67c | 29.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 74c | 16.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Perth Glory FC won
- Spread: Perth Glory FC (-2.5)Brisbane Roar FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.