Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe6902209587352b1544f2893ad0d550fe2121cf00fce726335f3a62cf215a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grind Backof GLYPH, Grind Back
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed GLYPH | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…a8dbbacked Grind Back | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Grind Back | 49c | 520.1$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.73 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed GLYPH | 52c | 383.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.55 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked GLYPH | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Grind Back | 59c | 205.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Grind Back | 56c | 183.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked GLYPH | 44c | 167.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed GLYPH | 52c | 162.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed GLYPH | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked GLYPH | 30c | 112.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed GLYPH | 64c | 101.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…6ac0backed Grind Back | 61c | 100.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked Grind Back | 53c | 79.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked GLYPH | 46c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GLYPH | 53c | 63.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed GLYPH | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Grind Back | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…1bfebacked Grind Back | 70c | 32.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…6e94backed GLYPH | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked Grind Back | 50c | 32.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed GLYPH | 38c | 32.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed GLYPH | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed GLYPH | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Grind Back | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked GLYPH | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed GLYPH | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 1 WinnerGrind Back won
- Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 WinnerGLYPH won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.