Asian League · resolved market
Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0915bdd302520da9ce65b88b5ac1a765928755525d8ce7c7961b43f8305cf1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 6,613$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 55c | 5,456$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 60c | 2,077$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.92 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 1,283$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.95 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 35c | 730.75$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.26 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 496.9$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 36c | 273.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 39c | 257.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 41c | 244.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 50c | 201.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 45c | 168$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 69c | 158.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 147.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6a…ce99backed Over | 47c | 121.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 47c | 117.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 45c | 116.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 45c | 103.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 28c | 103.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 67c | 100.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 62c | 91.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 59c | 90.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 35c | 85.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 36c | 75.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 63c | 72.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 64c | 71.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 64c | 60.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 67c | 56.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 78c | 55.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 69c | 51.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…c162backed Under | 67c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 66c | 43.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 43c | 39.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 66c | 34.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 45c | 33.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 77c | 29.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 36c | 27.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea77…686ebacked Over | 69c | 21.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14de…489cbacked Under | 77c | 21.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…125ebacked Over | 66c | 17.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: JEF United Ichihara Chiba (-2.5)Tōkyō Verdy won
- Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)JEF United Ichihara Chiba won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Under won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.