TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JEF United Ichihara Chibaof Tōkyō Verdy, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,326 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Tōkyō Verdy21c583.23$124 inLost-$123.955,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba79c364.29$287 inWon+$77.521,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c222.03$111 inWon+$111.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e94…21b8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c219.25$110 inWon+$109.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca45…8af9backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c218.81$109 inWon+$109.41862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e70…740dbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c218.71$109 inWon+$109.364100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f60…3ab8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c217.86$109 inWon+$108.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…1ea4backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c217.23$109 inWon+$108.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb479…cdcabacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c216.87$108 inWon+$108.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85ca…76f2backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c213.84$107 inWon+$106.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x914f…e477backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c212.83$106 inWon+$106.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+85.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe32e…bf96backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c212.31$106 inWon+$106.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0937…99dfbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c212.08$106 inWon+$106.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb953…9f58backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c211.69$106 inWon+$105.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…31d8backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c211.22$106 inWon+$105.61475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe14c…0fadbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c211.18$106 inWon+$105.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351f…ccb4backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c210.41$105 inWon+$105.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fb…6a96backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c209.84$105 inWon+$104.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89d6…6f37backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c208.67$104 inWon+$104.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…6582backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c207.28$104 inWon+$103.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b1a…afd2backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c206.79$103 inWon+$103.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9999…f8c7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c206.39$103 inWon+$103.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab5…95a1backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c203.27$102 inWon+$101.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1cb…9113backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c203.2$102 inWon+$101.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c202.66$101 inWon+$101.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x907c…dd5fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c201.56$101 inWon+$100.785100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+501.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf9b…1003backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c200.57$100 inWon+$100.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c199.47$100 inWon+$99.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…65bfbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c199.39$100 inWon+$99.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb1…1819backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c197.88$99 inWon+$98.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d6…a834backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c196.31$98 inWon+$98.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x988a…6179backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba50c195.2$98 inWon+$97.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+57.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Tōkyō Verdy35c115.97$41 inLost-$416738.8%26 W · 41 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tōkyō Verdy21c47.62$10 inLost-$1046422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.59554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.