La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x408e1876a1f6b9affc0869f9e66b834877ad43ea3d6af432706af74a121fa72b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 3,682$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,790$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.29 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 741.22$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 667.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.07 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 57c | 457$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 450.21$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.76 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 76c | 340$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 62c | 234.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 33c | 209.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 27c | 199.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 191.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 33c | 180$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 43c | 169.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 31c | 165.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 44c | 126.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 69c | 106.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 73c | 97.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 18c | 94.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 66c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 66c | 70.07$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Under | 73c | 69.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 48c | 56.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 48c | 41.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 42c | 38.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 62c | 32.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 68c | 30.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 62c | 20.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.