La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168ea28021abd0289000fd273297250d21a1314f4ce606356cb80ebd3fb09a2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 2c | 7,451$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 3,907$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.39 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 45c | 3,139$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.19 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,006$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.61 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,018$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.92 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 955.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.06 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…3e5cbacked Under | 47c | 393.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 42c | 321.43$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 51c | 303$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 282.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 55c | 277.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…6415backed Under | 80c | 250.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 245.51$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 46c | 199.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 198.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 195.54$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.95 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 26c | 138.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 50c | 136.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 28c | 108.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 40c | 104.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 16c | 99.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 49c | 95.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 52c | 92.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 48c | 88.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 49c | 82.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…ef5bbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 71.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 62.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 67c | 57.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 54c | 50.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed Over | 53c | 49.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 46c | 42.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 170 | 61.2%104 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 54c | 39.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…d2ebbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 78c | 34.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked Over | 41c | 26.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +29.7wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 59c | 23.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 113 | 66.4%75 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Over | 75c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 48c | 23.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 54c | 23.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 22.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 49c | 22.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.