La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x801d8fbd10894885d87518e6ae1ff1daa0548d8e9004bb83a27c0f3d30c82508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 64c | 1,848$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.34 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Under | 35c | 1,581$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.71 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 908.67$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.36 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 15c | 656.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 15c | 632.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 577.37$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 51c | 554.78$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 389.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 10c | 378.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 38c | 303.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.97 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 25c | 216.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 14c | 214.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked Over | 23c | 205.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 202.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 42c | 200.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 190.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 64c | 177.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…4dcfbacked Over | 45c | 169.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b9…a7afbacked Over | 15c | 158.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c4…89cfbacked Over | 35c | 157.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over | 69c | 153.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Under | 78c | 151.94$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 14c | 142.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 70c | 141.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 8c | 134.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 17c | 111.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 19c | 61.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 18c | 55.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 54c | 52.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Under | 71c | 19.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 60c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…2068backed Under | 67c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…cf52backed Under | 78c | 13.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.