La Liga · resolved market
RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044911c516524ee9591fedf55163577ba2cade7e174cf0ea19d0142a5dd40795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 55c | 2,281$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.27 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 51c | 1,503$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.56 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,471$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 1,324$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.75 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 56c | 1,320$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.06 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,235$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 1,113$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.69 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 990.6$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.14 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 908.47$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.29 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 54c | 732.24$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.83 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 56c | 650.69$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 572.32$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.26 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 560.07$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.62 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 396.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.51 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 53c | 391.9$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 53c | 302.54$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 47c | 264.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 55c | 264.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 250.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 220.68$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 58c | 196.4$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 48c | 188.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 53c | 181.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.61 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 116.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 107.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Over | 55c | 106.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 60c | 106.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…b823backed Over | 50c | 97.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 48c | 74.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Under | 48c | 60.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Over | 51c | 54.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…dd15backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 51.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 46.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 57c | 42.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 47c | 41.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Under | 47c | 41.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Under | 55c | 40.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e8…2137backed Under | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…1749backed Under | 45c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 45c | 34.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…bac9backed Over | 52c | 33.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 47c | 31.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 63c | 30.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 54c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 46c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 24.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…85aebacked Under | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Under | 54c | 21.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 2.5this page
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5Over won
- RC Deportivo La Coruña vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Mirandés (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)CD Mirandés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.