South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208cbe4bdcbbb28a8df7ddfb5ad699def622dacbd63a0c4cb96ff8e8df501139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 5,140$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 26c | 4,819$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…0b5fbacked Yes | 64c | 4,140$2,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 658.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked No | 16c | 620.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 38c | 488.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.49 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 41c | 485$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 60c | 418.1$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 40c | 411.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 63c | 383.56$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed No | 13c | 266.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 61c | 261$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 39c | 258.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 40c | 233.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 8c | 233.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 41c | 225.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 41c | 215.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 12c | 201.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…8501backed No | 17c | 188.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes | 55c | 180.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 56c | 179.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 162.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 77c | 142.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 41c | 117.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Yes | 54c | 99.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 80c | 99.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Yes | 63c | 95.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 59c | 83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed No | 16c | 81.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 25c | 78.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 22c | 76.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 17c | 68.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 53.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…ab11backed Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 78c | 48.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 24c | 44.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 41c | 44.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 41c | 42.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Yes | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 40c | 33.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…6a0bbacked Yes | 58c | 29.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 74c | 24.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 58c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Yes | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6d…24fbbacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…bc3cbacked Yes | 52c | 19.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-03?this page
- Will Club Necaxa vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.