TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,053

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Under51c5,224$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.523647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c2,956$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.1998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over44c2,449$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.031735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under66c2,053$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.392642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over40c1,448$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3968625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over47c860.53$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.535925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under55c632.02$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under51c611.69$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under53c566.11$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.111040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over49c562.66$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.72025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c548.42$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb355…f149backed Under60c505$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over52c485.48$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.452740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c456.73$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9419849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over66c454.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c404$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over72c396.59$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.871764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x285c…7911backed Over47c303.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under34c291.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.391258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over54c214$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.34146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under55c210$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.53063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under55c210$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb354…0b3bbacked Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b5…56cdbacked Over28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under46c199.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c197.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6f…7120backed Over47c187.04$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under55c185$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.252864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Under56c177$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over54c175.28$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.653452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over19c173$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.874337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Over67c163.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over60c138.6$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.697254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c73…dd8fbacked Under61c131.19$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Over30c127.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+31.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c107.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2816865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over48c100.71$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.391838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402548%12 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.335853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.335244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over53c93.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.421816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-59.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c91.89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3334937.8%132 W · 217 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over44c90.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.742334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over41c90.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378327.7%23 W · 60 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xece0…1754backed Under59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under56c84.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2532453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over30c78.75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2630954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.782634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over65c71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.338353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over56c66.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over21c63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.234551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under59c59.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.363345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over44c57.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under45c51.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207739%30 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7b2…122dbacked Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under56c49.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.998747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over44c46.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.543023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d37…d670backed Under59c46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e95…f5bfbacked Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over37c38.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.281838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over53c37.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Over52c35.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-41.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under56c33.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8910448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…d973backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under59c30.54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Over45c30.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under58c28.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.976352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Over49c28.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.842055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed Over63c27.02$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed Under76c22.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c75…45febacked Under53c20.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under56c19.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under59c17.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa575…f2d0backed Under64c17.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6df…e2aabacked Over62c17.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.