Australian A League · resolved market
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95239fbcad0044fdea5e3188828c43c800a1283c21ab7ca21821b91adac69f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wellington Phoenix FCof Western Sydney Wanderers FC, Wellington Phoenix FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 14c | 2,076$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…546ebacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 227.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…fcdcbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 225.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…d9c3backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 224.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…5cb5backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 222.77$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…6690backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 221.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…59eebacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 221.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…1676backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 219.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555a…8792backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 219.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…ef9ebacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 218.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd2…b38bbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 218.17$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14c…0fadbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 218.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…009abacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 217.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…d110backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 216.75$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…8be9backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 216.61$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…3f2abacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 215.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…e080backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 214.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…a607backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 213.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…cc3abacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 213.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c8…872bbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 213.78$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dc…9389backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 212.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979c…a93cbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 212.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2231…7c55backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 210.39$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…1cedbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 209.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…1d7cbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 209.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…4c4abacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 209.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…d23dbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 209.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…fd0bbacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 208.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…5195backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 208.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7a…f3d6backed Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 207.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…eeeabacked Wellington Phoenix FC | 49c | 206.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-2.5)Western Sydney Wanderers FC won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.