MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81fd67dd3045a7727e0775c57a9b3f87ea8307bc1e312e99d3149c1a81d98b47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 47c | 199,998$92,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,999.12 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 53c | 198,835$106,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,465.3 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 2,737$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.8 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 2,159$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.89 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,017$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.41 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…e1d7backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 48c | 1,651$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.29 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 53c | 1,573$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 47c | 1,147$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.99 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.58 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Under | 47c | 1,031$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.91 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 51c | 951.71$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.41 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 914.2$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.6 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 55c | 884.55$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Under | 54c | 667.05$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.53 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 632.64$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.34 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 586.14$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.01 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 559.61$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 46c | 516.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.86 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 47c | 499.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 54c | 486.2$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 467.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 464.98$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.83 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 443.13$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 44c | 366$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 57c | 341.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.84 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 45c | 313$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 47c | 285.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 55c | 271.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.16 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 60c | 244$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6e…271bbacked Under | 54c | 236.37$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 54c | 224.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.09 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 46c | 208.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.13 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 58c | 197.7$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 53c | 192.53$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 54c | 183.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 45c | 179.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.66 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 170.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 42c | 161.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 58c | 159.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 48c | 137.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 135.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Over | 56c | 123.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 123.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 48c | 120.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 46c | 118.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 47c | 116.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Under | 55c | 114.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d22…403ebacked Under | 54c | 107.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 44c | 107.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 106.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 87.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 84.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 17c | 79.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 57c | 76.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 20c | 75.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 57c | 75.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29b…5568backed Over | 24c | 73.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed Under | 54c | 61.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 59.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Over | 47c | 55.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 52c | 54.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 53c | 53.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 47c | 51.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 51.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Over | 54c | 50.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 56c | 49.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 39c | 49.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 47.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…e85fbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 54c | 44.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa81f…eed2backed Under | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x959b…64edbacked Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 46c | 41.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…5d6ebacked Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 44c | 41.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 54c | 40.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 57c | 40.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 53c | 40.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 74c | 39.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cee…373cbacked Under | 54c | 35.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…2381backed Under | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 60c | 34.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 28.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Over | 53c | 26.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 53c | 25.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 24.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed Under | 48c | 24.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.