MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76369ae9e4106bbb0ad6fe7d4b009350934a217237ad6777dc7d768b9c2e2d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,127$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.77 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 3,292$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.5 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 1,871$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.54 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 1,617$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.52 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 1,338$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.88 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 713.49$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.72 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 699.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 502.16$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Atlanta Braves | 70c | 487.18$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 446$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 414.02$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 294.44$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.38 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 254.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 220.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 210.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.46 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 193.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 135.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 117.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Braves | 71c | 104.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Atlanta Braves | 72c | 96.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 93.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 88.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Atlanta Braves | 25c | 77.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 73.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 69.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 67.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 235 | 22.6%53 W · 182 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 67.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 64.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 64.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 61.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe741…fc1abacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 52.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 52.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 50.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 44.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 42.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 38.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…36c6backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 33.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…1533backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 31.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 29.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3323…f667backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 29.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 29.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…6c9fbacked Atlanta Braves | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…f017backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 28.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 24.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 16.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 14.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia PhilliesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.