TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,121
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$419,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,121 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies34c259,588$87,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87,164.131149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c9…414bbacked Atlanta Braves67c134,833$90,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,494.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Atlanta Braves66c117,390$77,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,912.7241149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Atlanta Braves66c42,000$27,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,279.9777053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies33c13,142$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,337.0110,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves71c12,139$8,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.971,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies29c11,410$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.972,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Colorado Rockies1c10,308$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Colorado Rockies33c7,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.9320350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies33c6,231$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.371,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves71c5,637$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.8237953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Colorado Rockies33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies19c4,629$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.782,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado Rockies5c4,383$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.261,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Colorado Rockies33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Atlanta Braves67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.814047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Atlanta Braves68c2,222$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.041,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Colorado Rockies27c2,043$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.1648850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Atlanta Braves67c1,890$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.792,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies14c1,802$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.458,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed Colorado Rockies30c1,685$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9914451.4%74 W · 70 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69f2…49b3backed Atlanta Braves67c1,560$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Colorado Rockies33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49561947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Colorado Rockies27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40561352.5%322 W · 291 L+29.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Atlanta Braves67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4959846.9%46 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Colorado Rockies34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.147349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Colorado Rockies34c1,470$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.968648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5a…ad74backed Colorado Rockies34c1,443$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves70c1,423$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.224344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Colorado Rockies11c1,385$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.299837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies13c1,264$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.321,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies33c1,261$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.214,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies33c991.44$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.886,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Colorado Rockies19c909$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7132751.7%169 W · 158 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a2…3c41backed Atlanta Braves69c717.43$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9315857%90 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies33c650.12$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.543,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Colorado Rockies16c620.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6333515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Colorado Rockies34c602.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20525149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19885952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Atlanta Braves67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.016155.7%34 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies9c565.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Colorado Rockies31c525.42$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8833241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Colorado Rockies30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15039948.1%192 W · 207 L-1.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Colorado Rockies30c464.13$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.242748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7610351.5%53 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Atlanta Braves67c447.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7220258.4%118 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Atlanta Braves69c425.77$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9940645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Colorado Rockies32c399.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12869351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Colorado Rockies33c399.95$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9839850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Colorado Rockies31c395.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7644643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1332…2b23backed Colorado Rockies27c369.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011431.6%36 W · 78 L-0.5wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a7…cba7backed Atlanta Braves67c334.33$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.33366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d62…eaf3backed Colorado Rockies34c317.65$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10819642.9%84 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Colorado Rockies27c307.03$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0340351.4%207 W · 196 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Colorado Rockies28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82e…98c3backed Atlanta Braves67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Colorado Rockies34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006855.9%38 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Colorado Rockies30c274.38$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3118648.4%90 W · 96 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlanta Braves70c270$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies33c263$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.761,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Colorado Rockies32c262.13$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8867444.1%297 W · 377 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf471…f483backed Atlanta Braves79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Rockies32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Colorado Rockies17c248.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6119442.3%82 W · 112 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies16c248.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.745,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc998…7b50backed Atlanta Braves67c244.78$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7810656.6%60 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Atlanta Braves67c238.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.819161.5%56 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce3…07b5backed Atlanta Braves67c229.85$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.851675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad11…599ebacked Colorado Rockies32c221.77$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Colorado Rockies34c214.52$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9484140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Colorado Rockies12c213.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0139640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Atlanta Braves67c201.49$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.497154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Colorado Rockies12c199.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8288046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Colorado Rockies17c199.35$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9382551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Colorado Rockies34c197.06$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6758943.1%254 W · 335 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Colorado Rockies18c191.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3699744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Rockies25c190.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5685235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Colorado Rockies34c188.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6437941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0167…d002backed Colorado Rockies31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8238145.4%173 W · 208 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Colorado Rockies32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Colorado Rockies32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013245.5%60 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Rockies26c149.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd041…357abacked Atlanta Braves67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253250%16 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Atlanta Braves67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2548150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Colorado Rockies17c144.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.713033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.863644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies32c140$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Colorado Rockies17c138.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2115243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Colorado Rockies33c134$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.221,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Colorado Rockies34c130$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.214555.9%81 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Colorado Rockies34c129$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8622041.8%92 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb49…693ebacked Atlanta Braves79c120.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Atlanta Braves67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9411346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Colorado Rockies15c106.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.595041.5%394 W · 556 L-48.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa6…e4bfbacked Colorado Rockies19c103$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5716955%93 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Atlanta Braves67c102.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9815855.1%87 W · 71 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.