MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee680810aa1ca67f829f8fcd50d3b6dca1a46f2761ca75ac4229953c3d7ef94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 58c | 1,878$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.59 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,163$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Under | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.66 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 984$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 858.02$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 535.32$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 53c | 444.41$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 384$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 40c | 310$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 64c | 309.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 67c | 224.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 42c | 200.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 184.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 59c | 163.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 72c | 157$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 146.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Under | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 45c | 134.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…839fbacked Under | 61c | 114.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…2096backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 52c | 66.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 44c | 56.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 60c | 53.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 73c | 51.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1332…2b23backed Under | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 41c | 49.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 76c | 34.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 41c | 34.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a77…50e6backed Over | 43c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 43c | 29.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 46c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Under | 67c | 22.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Over | 52c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.