MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5761df856822dc01611c05e2eebe430ce775c4095eb135b28a95b3e37fe837c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,358$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.55 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 2,178$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 2,030$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.28 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 883.93$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 779.97$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 514.46$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.36 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 352.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 32c | 256$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 234.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 63c | 215.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Colorado Rockies | 5c | 213.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 175.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 144.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…ff45backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 95.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 86.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 60.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 57.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 39.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 37.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 37.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2977backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Atlanta Braves | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 29.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…323abacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 25.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Atlanta Braves | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Atlanta Braves | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves | 73c | 16.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.