MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9902670aeaee5cf3dd2b75372dc3560b919c7a27d7781b43a9559194176899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdac9…ef82backed Over | 57c | 502.1$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 38c | 479.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce3…07b5backed Under | 55c | 448.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Under | 66c | 439.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Over | 35c | 341.22$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Under | 67c | 297.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.34 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 235.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 48c | 191.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 157.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 133.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe67…dd7ebacked Under | 45c | 109.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 47c | 107.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 53c | 73.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,374 | 54.2%745 W · 629 L | +16.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 51c | 66.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 54c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 49.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 44c | 48.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 46c | 27.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 23.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-6.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.