NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd57a1ad1cfde8ab71d40b9bda2b0056919ca13ee25cdd5e922a2f4c74923e029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 51c | 45,629$23,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,416.26 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 48c | 18,005$8,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,362.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Under | 48c | 8,888$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 48c | 1,613$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.94 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Over | 50c | 1,563$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 21c | 1,227$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.24 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 1,126$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 897.92$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.18 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 860.99$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…6351backed Under | 51c | 788$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd791…2eadbacked Over | 50c | 788$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 706.56$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.9 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 49c | 452.29$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 17c | 369.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e23…7795backed Under | 51c | 290$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fa…f21dbacked Over | 50c | 289$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 51c | 199.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 156.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.93 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 50c | 112.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a70…a50bbacked Under | 51c | 107.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 50c | 100.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Over | 40c | 99.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Under | 51c | 97.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…02e8backed Over | 22c | 87.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 49c | 69.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 69.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…90a0backed Over | 51c | 58.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 69c | 58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 57.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…8301backed Over | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 51c | 45.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 43.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 39.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 51c | 38.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…75fbbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 51c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 50c | 21.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 79c | 15.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 79c | 15.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. PredatorsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.