NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1930fdef836921916d051b4187676c652d8123249ecd99a7f86301862962460c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc19e…c764backed Over | 70c | 2,100$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 80c | 1,172$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 20c | 1,046$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over | 21c | 980.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.13 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 43c | 887.6$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 20c | 615$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.3 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Under | 79c | 499.91$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.16 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 41c | 499.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 23c | 448.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 80c | 386.36$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 64c | 309$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…39babacked Under | 70c | 242.21$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 41c | 161$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 17c | 65.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 36c | 59.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 41c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 22c | 47.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6e…326cbacked Over | 36c | 41.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e9a6backed Under | 78c | 34.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…a2f3backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 62c | 28.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 75c | 13.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5this page
- Sharks vs. PredatorsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.