NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8dca190ccc50b01ac355acf49f5f34c4dbaf569751964e450b0e3d478bed668
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Predators, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Sharks | 63c | 2,707$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.71 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Predators | 38c | 1,730$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.24 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Predators | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Predators | 37c | 1,220$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.39 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Sharks | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 62c | 1,013$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.85 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Sharks | 64c | 917.25$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Predators | 37c | 687.56$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Sharks | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Sharks | 62c | 370.94$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Sharks | 62c | 310.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Predators | 37c | 294.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Predators | 38c | 253.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 62c | 238.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Predators | 37c | 218.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Sharks | 63c | 186.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Sharks | 63c | 179.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Sharks | 63c | 170.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Sharks | 74c | 118.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Predators | 38c | 111.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Predators | 37c | 82.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sharks | 63c | 81.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Sharks | 64c | 77.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Predators | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Sharks | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Sharks | 63c | 68.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Sharks | 63c | 63.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Predators | 19c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sharks | 64c | 55.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Sharks | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Predators | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Sharks | 63c | 50.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sharks | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Sharks | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71b…7b51backed Sharks | 62c | 41.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Predators | 38c | 38.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Predators | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Predators | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Sharks | 64c | 32.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Sharks | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Sharks | 64c | 30.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Sharks | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Sharks | 63c | 27.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Sharks | 63c | 27.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Sharks | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Sharks | 63c | 21.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sharks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sharks | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Sharks | 63c | 19.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Sharks vs. PredatorsSharks won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.