Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Juan Estevez vs Juan Manuel La Serna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740960bba735f7f59837829f4126ac2544406c97b824641249af81d21c0013dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Estevezof Juan Estevez, Juan Manuel La Serna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 26,909$21,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,036.54 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Estevez | 32c | 24,336$7,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,549.63 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juan Estevez | 38c | 10,708$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,647.39 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 58c | 10,478$6,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.7 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c3…f7e8backed Juan Estevez | 20c | 9,599$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,695.68 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Juan Estevez | 28c | 6,866$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.51 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 53c | 6,566$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Estevez | 42c | 3,919$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.11 | 6,700 | 50.8%3,401 W · 3,299 L | +267.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 2,318$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.61 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 59c | 2,276$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.72 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Juan Estevez | 35c | 1,809$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.81 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 1,752$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.86 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 70c | 1,684$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.8 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 27c | 1,575$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.93 | 2,454 | 50.9%1,248 W · 1,206 L | +83.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 1,541$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.65 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 1,516$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.64 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 58c | 1,497$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.42 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 56c | 1,426$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.38 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 55c | 1,417$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Juan Estevez | 34c | 1,415$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.67 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Juan Estevez | 20c | 1,298$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Juan Estevez | 46c | 1,295$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.73 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d475backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 65c | 1,288$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.01 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 1,275$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.78 | 416 | 58.7%244 W · 172 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 1c | 1,169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 60c | 1,105$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668 | 4,647 | 67.7%3,147 W · 1,500 L | +308.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Estevez | 36c | 1,052$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 1,023$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.12 | 501 | 56.1%281 W · 220 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 1,012$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.43 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Estevez | 42c | 1,006$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.94 | 4,803 | 49.5%2,379 W · 2,424 L | +174.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Juan Estevez | 20c | 894.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 49c | 874.35$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.73 | 1,675 | 53.1%889 W · 786 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 65c | 761.26$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.71 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 60c | 683.2$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Estevez | 43c | 677.54$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 5,486 | 56.3%3,088 W · 2,398 L | +232.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 640.39$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.64 | 224 | 65.2%146 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Juan Estevez | 20c | 515.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.53 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Juan Estevez | 48c | 494.6$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.65 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 59c | 433.41$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Juan Estevez | 26c | 373.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.17 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 343.24$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Juan Estevez | 26c | 334.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.92 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Juan Estevez | 31c | 325.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.81 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Juan Estevez | 38c | 317.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Juan Estevez | 29c | 316.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.73 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Juan Estevez | 57c | 285.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 53c | 279.26$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Juan Estevez | 30c | 277.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 266.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 266$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Juan Estevez | 77c | 252.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 226 | 46%104 W · 122 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Juan Estevez | 75c | 248.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Estevez | 41c | 240.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 235.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 221.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 54c | 216.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Juan Estevez | 46c | 214.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Estevez | 42c | 199.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 9,444 | 44.3%4,188 W · 5,256 L | -249.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 54c | 194.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Estevez | 46c | 191.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 25c | 188.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Juan Estevez | 44c | 186.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 985 | 55.2%544 W · 441 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 54c | 181.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 407 | 63.9%260 W · 147 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Juan Estevez | 34c | 176.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.77 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 56c | 175.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Juan Estevez | 33c | 174.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Juan Estevez | 20c | 170.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.28 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 58c | 167.03$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 795 | 47.4%377 W · 418 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 56c | 160.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5835…6410backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 135.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 58c | 134.17$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 56c | 130.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.02 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 127.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 244 | 60.2%147 W · 97 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…240cbacked Juan Estevez | 46c | 123.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 69c | 120.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 69c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Juan Estevez | 43c | 111.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 27c | 109.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Estevez | 39c | 103.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 6,898 | 48.9%3,374 W · 3,524 L | +61.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 69c | 101.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Juan Estevez | 24c | 100.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedef…a67ebacked Juan Estevez | 25c | 100.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 91.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 588 | 53.1%312 W · 276 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 88.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Juan Estevez | 31c | 85.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6031…de1ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 60c | 85.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 53c | 76.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 980 | 44.7%438 W · 542 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 76.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 51c | 76.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juan Estevez | 45c | 75.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 7,227 | 49.7%3,591 W · 3,636 L | +118.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 51c | 75.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Juan Estevez | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 57c | 67.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Estevez | 30c | 66.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Juan Estevez | 44c | 64.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 58c | 58.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 244 | 60.7%148 W · 96 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Juan Estevez | 28c | 58.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Juan Estevez | 46c | 57.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Cruz: Juan Estevez vs Juan Manuel La Sernathis page
- Estevez vs. Serna: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Juan Estevez vs. Juan Manuel La Serna: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Estevez vs SernaSerna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.